Baseline provenance
Loading Tier 3 partner API + Tier 4 Caesars scrape status…
Partner limit patterns
Trace observed limit movement from partner to downline, sportsbook, jurisdiction, and ZIP cluster while keeping policy, license, prediction, and proof evidence directly inspectable. The signal window covers 48 hours and refreshes every 30 seconds.
Account limit control Definition Profile semantics Artifact
Review one evidence-backed control record per partner-tree account. Profile identity, jurisdiction and license readiness, observed sportsbook limits, effective policy bindings, and the event trace remain separate and directly inspectable.
Compliance policy KPIs
Decision metrics derived from governed policies and blocked-wager evidence. Each label opens its glossary definition.
Jurisdiction policy catalog
Effective internal policy codes projected from regulatory_limits. New states
appear automatically when policy rows are added.
Cross-market limit watch Definition Evidence Market semantics
Geo-scoped operator comparisons join observed max stake, line movement, license state, proof, and influence evidence. A stake-ready row is a capacity signal; price and edge remain owned by the odds feed.
| Region | Market | Operators / observed max | Shared stake | Movement class | Sustainability | Readiness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading limit-watch evidence… | ||||||
Loading limit-watch evidence…
Pattern summary Definition
Limit raise prediction Definition
Loading prediction accuracy…
bun-1.4.0-limit-v1
P(raise) = clamp(5%, 95%, 0.30F + 0.25T + 0.30I + 0.15W)
F = seven-day raise frequency · T = normalized daily limit trend · I = multi-factor
influence · W = UTC operating-window signal. Expected magnitude is the mean recent
raise divided by the current limit.
Pattern research queue Evidence semantics
Deterministic findings ranked from the connected 48-hour artifact; every finding names
its evidence and remains reproducible from limit-raises.json.
Partner → downline context Definition
Data connection audit Definition
Recent limit changes Definition
| Node / Downline | State / ZIP | Sportsbook | Sport | Market | Phase | Previous limit | New limit | Delta | Delta % | Influence | When |
|---|
bun tools/seed-limit-patterns.ts --force --bake.