Coverage prediction backtest High error
Generated 2026-07-23T19:38:47.463Z · range 2024-03-01 → 2024-12-01 · model naive coverage % · static Pages artifact from ops:prediction report / ops:snapshot
n
10
backtest rows
MAE
38.80
mean abs error
RMSE
40.83
root mean square
Bias
-38.80
mean signed error
Worst |error|
56.30
2024-12-01
Mean |error|
38.80
series absolute
Last predicted
3.7
coverage %
Last actual
60.0
coverage %
Predicted vs actual
Residuals
Series (10 rows)
| Date↕ | Predicted↕ | Actual↕ | Error↕ | |Error|↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-01 | 3.70 | 60.00 | 56.30 | 56.30 |
| 2024-11-01 | 3.70 | 52.00 | 48.30 | 48.30 |
| 2024-10-01 | 3.70 | 48.00 | 44.30 | 44.30 |
| 2024-09-01 | 3.70 | 55.00 | 51.30 | 51.30 |
| 2024-08-01 | 3.70 | 50.00 | 46.30 | 46.30 |
| 2024-07-01 | 3.70 | 45.00 | 41.30 | 41.30 |
| 2024-06-01 | 3.70 | 40.00 | 36.30 | 36.30 |
| 2024-05-01 | 3.70 | 30.00 | 26.30 | 26.30 |
| 2024-04-01 | 3.70 | 25.00 | 21.30 | 21.30 |
| 2024-03-01 | 3.70 | 20.00 | 16.30 | 16.30 |
